31st 05 - 2010 | 2 comments »

Forex: Should Consequences Faced in Last Month Impact On June Hike?

In June month there will be considered a two important developments in which the market should keep a bull’s eye,firstly the development seen in the stocks. In last week there was a break out seen in the DOW even though it touches the low of Feb. in some past days.

The buying of stocks leads to the rise again at the end of week. Where as the rise in CRB stocks are also shown and leads it to the level above 258. After the argument on the recoveries held on last Friday, sell-off and seems to be looked corrective as anticipated by the market experts.

There are major events are scheduled by Canada and Australia as they may discuss about the crucial factors that is whether commodity currencies will be steady for long term or not. The market is still expecting a hike from the BOC even though it seems to be in volatile state as the Forex market.

In this week the market main focuses on rate hike of BOC since, the market were pricing only 4y percent at only one point while 25 bps rate hike in terms of BOC as expected for this week in the market.

But it is seen that OECD has taken an strict action against the BOC and ordered them to remove all the policies that leads the investors to increment their betting as the stocks gets rebounded in past week.

At the end of the week it is noticed that market gets only a seventy percent rate hike since we all know that BOC rate hike is not a done deal in the market. It is seen that there was a recovery seen in the past week in the Canadian Dollar against the major currencies and commodities of the market.

On Tuesday there will be some recovery in the US and UK market is expected in the Forex market. So, it is true that there will be some instability occurs in June hike because of the past month’s consequences.

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15th 05 - 2010 | 1 comment »

USD Strengthens, EURO Snugged to Past Year Lows

USD gains profit last week due to the euro debt crisis. The government tries for its best by giving support to euro zone countries by providing the rescue aid-package of $ 1 trillion to the euro debt crisis facing countries that is Greek, Portuguese and Spain but, it seems to a short-term help as it is unable to provide any type of support that will in turn benefits to the EUR currency.

There is expected risk aversion for the currency pairs positions that is AUD/JPY, CAD/JPY and may be to GBP/JPY because of the USD strength and euro weakness. It is seen in the Forex market, other major currencies British pound and Yen falls against the USD last week since, USD attracted the buyers by reaching the high levels in past week.

It is expected for next week’s Forex session that is EURO remains static throughout the week then it seems that the high demand for Gold will be affected by this. EUR will be low for the long-term due to the major concerns over fiscal coherence in EMU.

The rebound of 1.3093 is shown in EUR/USD chart pattern. The analysis of chart displays a top cycle that has been formed on 4-Hour chart, along with the ups and down is seen in couple of days among the range from 1.2526 and 1.3093.

Further analysis describes about the AUDUSD is that- there is a support given at 0.8950. It may be expected that an uptrend from 0.8715 could be continue at this level. Since, AUDUSD touches the high of 0.9077 level. There could be a next top cycle is expected in next couple of days.

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